Random House The Memory Illusion. Remembering, Forgetting, and the Science of False Memory Shaw Julia

Что, если бы мы могли улучшить нашу способность предсказывать будущее? • Все, что мы делаем, включает прогнозы о том, как будет развиваться будущее. Независимо от того, покупаем ли мы новый дом или меняем работу, разрабатываем новый продукт или вступаем в брак, наши решения определяются неявными предсказаниями того, как все может обернуться. Проблема в том, что мы не очень хороши в этом • В книге "Суперпрогнозирование" Филип Тетлок и его соавтор Дэн Гарднер предлагают увлекательное представление о том, чему мы можем научиться. Они показывают методы реального, доказуемого предвидения, которые позволяют превзойти даже профессиональных аналитиков разведки. И они предлагают практические советы о том, как мы все можем использовать эти методы для собственной выгоды – будь то в бизнесе, в международных делах или в повседневной жизни

Люди думают, что если вы хотите изменить свою жизнь, вам нужно мыслить масштабно. Но всемирно известный эксперт по привычкам Джеймс Клир нашел другой способ. Он знает, что реальные перемены происходят в результате совокупного эффекта сотен небольших решений: делать два отжимания в день, просыпаться на пять минут раньше или сделать один короткий телефонный звонок • Он называет их атомарными привычками • В этой новаторской книге Клирс раскрывает, как именно эти незначительные изменения могут перерасти в такие судьбоносные результаты. Он раскрывает несколько простых лайфхаков (забытое искусство формирования привычек, неожиданная сила правила двух минут или хитрость, позволяющая войти в зону Златовласки) и углубляется в передовые области психологии и нейробиологии, чтобы объяснить, почему они важны

The defenestration of a ruthless theatre impresario's young son was definitely not the best way to end the play's first night party. And the crime scene itself was most unusual: a locked bedroom, with no sign of forced entry, no prints or traces of blood, just a sinister, life-size puppet of Mr Punch lying on the floor • Everyone at the party - from the dodgy producer and rakish male lead to the dour set designer and the assistant stage manager (the wild daughter of a prominent civil servant) - is a suspect • It's a perfect case for Bryant and May and the Peculiar Crimes Unit but the Home Office, wary of the PCU's eccentric methods and intensely aware of the potential political embarrassment, wants them off the investigation • The elderly detectives are not so easily deterred, however

The sinking of the White Ship in 1120 is one of the greatest disasters England has ever suffered. In one catastrophic night, the king’s heir and the flower of Anglo-Norman society were drowned and the future of the crown was thrown violently off course • In a riveting narrative, Charles Spencer follows the story from the Norman Conquest through to the decades that would become known as the Anarchy: a civil war of untold violence that saw families turn in on each other with English and Norman barons, rebellious Welsh princes and the Scottish king all playing a part in a desperate game of thrones. All because of the loss of one vessel – the White Ship – the medieval Titanic

For fans of Charles Duhig, Malcolm Gladwell and Nate Silver, a brilliant and buoyant investigation into the existence (or not) of hot streaks • For decades, psychologists and economists have studied the science of streaks to determine whether the ‘hot hand’ exists. Is there such a thing as being in the zone? Or it simply a case of seeing patterns in randomness? Genius scholars and Nobel Prize winners have dedicated years to answering this question. A substantial number of the decisions we make each day are rooted in two opposing beliefs: that if something happened before, it will happen again – or if it happened before, it probably won’t happen again • The Hot Hand is an incredibly entertaining and provocative investigation into the seductive idea that streaks not only exist but can be created

World-renowned psychologist Paul Bloom presents a captivating scientific account of why a rich and meaningful life is rarely an easy one - and why we should embrace that fact • Why do we seek out painful experiences? From horror movies and roller-coaster rides to mountain-climbing, religious abstinence and - most painful of all - parenthood, humans are drawn irresistibly to activities that they know are going to hurt. Many people have something missing in their lives, and a whole 'happiness' business has grown up in response. In The Sweet Spot, psychologist Paul Bloom takes a different approach • Drawing on studies of the evolutionary value of play and the science of morality, he presents an alternative account of human behaviour in which our desire for meaning is far greater than our desire for happiness, and shows not only that chosen suffering - including pain, fear and sadness - can be a source of pleasure, but that suffering is an essential part of achieving a complete and fulfilling life

A wonderfully readable investigation of the origins of the modern garden in 18th-century England. Popular history at its finest • One January morning in 1734, cloth merchant Peter Collinson hurried down to the docks at London's Custom House to collect cargo just arrived from John Bartram in the American colonies. But it was not bales of cotton that awaited him, but plants and seeds • Over the next forty years, Bartram would send hundreds of American species to England, where Collinson was one of a handful of men who would foster a national obsession and change the gardens of Britain forever: Philip Miller, author of the bestselling Gardeners Dictionary; the Swede Carl Linnaeus, whose standardised botanical nomenclature popularised botany; the botanist-adventurer Joseph Banks and his colleague Daniel Solander who both explored the strange flora of Tahiti and Australia on Captain Cook's Endeavour

From one of the most important economic thinkers of our time, a brilliant and far-seeing analysis of the current populist backlash against globalization and how revitalising community can save liberal market democracy • Raghuram Rajan, author of the 2010 FT & Goldman-Sachs Book of the Year Fault Lines, has an unparalleled vantage point onto the social and economic consequences of globalization and their ultimate effect on politics and society • In The Third Pillar he offers up a magnificent big-picture framework for understanding how three key forces – the economy, society, and the state – interact, why things begin to break down, and how we can find our way back to a more secure and stable plane • The ‘third pillar’ of the title is society. Economists all too often understand their field as the relationship between the market and government, and leave social issues for other people

In the 6th century AD, the Near East was divided between two great empires: the Persian and the Roman. A hundred years on, and one had vanished for ever, while the other was a dismembered, bleeding trunk. In their place, a new superpower had arisen: the empire of the Arabs. So profound was this upheaval that it spelled, in effect, the end of the ancient world • But the changes that marked the period were more than merely political or even cultural: there was also a transformation of human society with incalculable consequences for the future. Today, over half the world's population subscribes to one of the various religions that took on something like their final form during the last centuries of antiquity. Wherever men or women are inspired by belief in a single god to think or behave in a certain way, they bear witness to the abiding impact of this extraordinary, convulsive age - though as Tom Holland demonstrates, much of what Jews, Christians and Muslims believe about the origins of their religion is open to debate

On a sunlit evening in l882, Lord Frederick Cavendish and Thomas Burke, Chief Secretary and Undersecretary for Ireland, were ambushed and stabbed to death while strolling through Phoenix Park in Dublin. The murders were carried out by the Invincibles, a militant faction of republicans armed with specially-made surgeon’s blades. They ended what should have been a turning point in Anglo-Irish relations. A new spirit of goodwill had been burgeoning between Prime Minister William Gladstone and Ireland’s leader Charles Stewart Parnell, with both men forging in secret a pact to achieve peace and independence in Ireland – with the newly appointed Cavendish, Gladstone’s protege, to play an instrumental role. The impact of the Phoenix Park murders was so cataclysmic that it destroyed the pact, almost brought down the government and set in motion repercussions that would last long into the twentieth century

"Последние подростки на Земле и Запретная крепость" - восьмая книга серии Макса Брэльера • Вернувшись после очередного приключения, Последние подростки счастливо воссоединяются, но вскоре снова сталкиваются с новой чудовищной миссией. Внутри крепости в другом измерении злой Тралл осуществляет зловещий план. Джек, Квинт, Джун и Дирк должны составить свой собственный план проникновения в цитадель, прежде чем Тралл приблизится к завершению строительства таинственной башни - сооружения, которое в конечном итоге может означать гибель для этого измерения • Книга на английском языке • Wimpy Kid meets The Walking Dead in this hilarious series packed with monsters and zombies • The highly-anticipated eighth book in the #1 New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today bestselling series, with over 10 million copies in print! • Picking up after Quint and Dirk's Hero Quest, the Last Kids are happily reunited—but quickly faced with a monstrous new mission

Loss and adversity are part of the human condition, but an imperfect past isn’t always an indicator of what’s to come • This book traces a pattern: why is it that often the people with the hardest beginnings in life – children who experience displacement, disease, financial ruin, abandonment or bereavement – become the most successful adults? And is there something to learn from those people, who perhaps have the strongest sense of what matters most? • Of Britain’s fifty-five prime ministers, twenty-five lost one or both of their parents as a child and 69 per cent suffered some form of serious childhood trauma. For their acclaimed podcast Past Imperfect, Thomson and Sylvester spoke to some such prime ministers, as well as pioneers and poets, CEOs and chefs, actors and archbishops, sports stars and Nobel prize-winning scientists